[McMaster Crest] QSEP
Research Institute for Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population
[population graph] [labour force graph]

MEDS-D TABLE 1: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 1  CANADA       
                 ID: STANDARD (AS OF 5/MAY/11)               DATE: 11MAY2011
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           POPULATION          LABOUR FORCE       TOTAL  HOUSE    % OF TPOP
 YEAR --------------------  -------------------   HOUSE  -HOLD  ------------
       TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH  TOTAL CHANGE GROWTH  -HOLDS   SIZE    <15    65+ 
       ('000) ('000)  (%)   ('000) ('000)  (%)   ('000)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 2001  31019.  2982.  1.02  16216.  1758.  1.15  12294.   2.52   18.9   12.7
 2011  34490.  3471.  1.07  18953.  2737.  1.57  13494.   2.56   16.4   14.4
 2021  37918.  3429.   .95  20171.  1218.   .62  15437.   2.46   16.6   18.8
 2031  40691.  2773.   .71  20565.   394.   .19  16943.   2.40   15.7   23.6
 2041  42641.  1950.   .47  21207.   642.   .31  18073.   2.36   14.7   25.4
 2051  44106.  1465.   .34  21501.   295.   .14  18852.   2.34   14.9   26.8

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Note:  TPOP is total population.
Note:  The growth rates show annual average growth over the preceding 10
       years.


MEDS-D TABLE 2: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 2  CANADA       
                 ID: STANDARD (AS OF 5/MAY/11)               DATE: 11MAY2011
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          IMMI-  EMI-  CHANGE   NET   BIRTHS  DEATHS  NAT-    RATIO OF TPOP
          GRA-   GRA-    IN     IN-                   URAL         TO--
 YEAR     TION   TION    NPR    FLOW                  INC-    -------------
                                                     REASE    P20-64    LF
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 2001    253.0   55.2   40.0   237.8   332.8  221.8  111.0     1.62   1.91
 2011    250.0   47.8   26.4   228.6   389.5  247.0  142.5     1.59   1.82
 2021    250.0   52.6     .0   197.4   410.1  284.3  125.8     1.68   1.88
 2031    250.0   56.6     .0   193.4   387.5  346.0   41.6     1.82   1.98
 2041    250.0   59.5     .0   190.5   406.6  427.4  -20.9     1.83   2.01
 2051    250.0   61.6     .0   188.4   423.6  482.3  -58.7     1.87   2.05

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Note:  NPR is non-permanent residents; TPOP is total population;
       P20-64 is population aged 20 to 64; LF is total labour force.
       All numbers of persons are in thousands.


MEDS-D TABLE 3: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 3  CANADA       
                 ID: STANDARD (AS OF 5/MAY/11)               DATE: 11MAY2011
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        TOTAL  CRUDE  CRUDE   NAT-    LIFE EXPECTANCY AT --       LF    LF
        FERT-  BIRTH  DEATH   URAL  -------------------------    PART    %
 YEAR   ILITY  RATE   RATE    INC-      AGE 0        AGE 65      RATE FEMALE
        RATE                 REASE    M      F      M      F
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 2001   1.53   10.8    7.2    3.6   76.9   82.0   17.0   20.5    66.1   46.0
 2011   1.68   11.4    7.2    4.2   79.4   84.0   18.3   21.8    67.3   47.1
 2021   1.68   10.9    7.5    3.3   81.4   85.7   19.4   23.0    65.5   47.1
 2031   1.68    9.6    8.5    1.0   82.8   86.9   20.3   23.9    61.8   47.0
 2041   1.68    9.6   10.0    -.5   84.0   88.1   21.1   24.8    60.2   47.0
 2051   1.68    9.6   11.0   -1.3   85.2   89.2   21.8   25.6    59.1   46.8

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Note:  LF is total labour force.


MEDS-D TABLE 4: PROJECTION SUMMARY PART 4  CANADA       
                 ID: STANDARD (AS OF 5/MAY/11)               DATE: 11MAY2011
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               MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION         MEDIAN AGE OF LF       U
 YEAR     ---------------------------------   --------------------    RATE
          TOTAL   MALE  FEMALE   AGE    AGE   TOTAL   MALE  FEMALE    (%)
                                20-64   65+
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 2001      37.3   36.5   38.1   40.9   74.1    39.1   39.3   38.8      7.2
 2011      39.9   39.0   40.9   42.9   74.0    41.3   41.5   41.1      7.2
 2021      41.7   40.9   42.6   42.9   73.5    41.9   42.2   41.6      6.1
 2031      44.1   43.2   44.9   43.2   74.5    42.5   42.9   42.1      6.1
 2041      45.8   44.8   46.9   43.7   76.8    42.9   43.3   42.4      6.1
 2051      45.8   44.7   47.0   42.9   76.7    42.3   42.7   41.8      6.1

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Note:  LF is total labour force; U RATE is total unemployment rate.

Last updated: May 11, 2011.
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